sampling

Changing your mind about the data: Updating sampling assumptions in inductive inference

When people use samples of evidence to make inferences, they consider both the sample contents and how the sample was generated (“sampling assumptions”). The current studies examined whether people can update their sampling assumptions – whether they …

Inductive reasoning in humans and large language models

GPT4 is similar to humans on category-based induction tasks unless they involve sampling assumptions

Inferring the truth from deception: What can people learn from helpful and unhelpful information providers?

Sampling assumptions — the assumptions people make about how an example of a category or concept has been chosen — help us learn from examples efficiently. One context where sampling assumptions are particularly important is in social contexts, where …

What do our sampling assumptions affect: How we encode data or how we reason from it?

People need to know how data were generated when they encode it; they can't revise it later if their assumptions were wrong

Exploring the role that encoding and retrieval play in sampling effects

A growing body of literature suggests that making different sampling assumptions about how data are generated can lead to qualitatively different patterns of inference based on that data. However, relatively little is known about how sampling …

Sample size, number of categories and sampling assumptions: Exploring some differences between categorization and generalization

Points out that people make opposing inferences in categorisation and generalisation tasks, and suggests that it is because of different assumptions about how items are sampled.

Representational and sampling assumptions drive individual differences in single category generalisation

A cognitive analysis of deception without lying

Leaping to conclusions: Why premise relevance affects argument strength

Demonstrates that premise non-monotonicity can be explained by people's assumptions about how data are sampled and captured by a Bayesian model of generalisation.

How do people learn from negative evidence? Non-monotonic generalizations and sampling assumptions in inductive reasoning