reasoning

How convincing is a crowd? Quantifying the persuasiveness of a consensus for different individuals and types of claims

Both knowability of a topic and independence of testimonials matter, but people differ in how much

Stochastic search algorithms can tell us who to trust (and why)

Relying on information from other people (social testimony) is essential for efficiently learning and reasoning about the world. However, determining who to trust is often challenging. In this paper, we argue that trust in social agents (i.e., those …

Sensitivity to online consensus effects within individuals and claim types

When reasoning about a claim, it makes sense to be more persuaded if lots of other people agree. But, there are many factors that make weighing the evidence behind a consensus complicated. For example, a consensus might be more or less informative …

Inductive reasoning in humans and large language models

GPT4 is similar to humans on category-based induction tasks unless they involve sampling assumptions

Human decision making in black swan situations